Back to Dashboard
shipping·weeksactive
Bab el-Mandeb / Red Sea Double Chokepoint
Despite declaring 'Hour Zero,' Houthis have NOT resumed Red Sea attacks after 3 weeks — a surprise to analysts. Intel suggests they await an Iranian signal and exercise strategic patience due to heavy US naval presence. Risk lower than initial assessment, but reinforcements pushed to Hodeidah coast.
50%
ElevatedBase: 60%
Modifier: -10
Severity: ●●●●●
Key Indicators
Houthi attack frequency
Red Sea daily transit count
Maersk/CMA CGM routing decisions
Suez Canal crossing volumes
Related Intelligence (3)
Mar 19Soufan Center10%
Houthis on Standby — Have NOT Resumed Red Sea AttacksThree weeks of restraint suggests Houthis may not open second front; risk overestimated
Mar 15Al Jazeera+15%
Houthis Declare 'Hour Zero' — Threaten Red Sea Naval BlockadeExplicit declaration of intent to close second chokepoint
Mar 2European Council on Foreign Relations+13%
A War With No Winners: The Costs of US-Israeli Aggression on IranDisruption to both Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea traffic creating dual maritime chokepoint crisis