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escalatory·Mar 16·Monday, March 16, 2026
Iran FM Rejects All Ceasefire Talks: 'We Never Asked for Negotiations'
escalatory·95% confidence
Summary
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated categorically that Iran never asked for a ceasefire or negotiations. 'The United States started it and is responsible for all consequences.' Diplomatic path appears closed.
Risk Impacts (1)
No ceasefire means Hormuz stays closed indefinitely
Current probability:85%Critical