DAY 24
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escalatory·Mar 16·Monday, March 16, 2026

Cybercrime Up 245% Since War Started — 60+ Threat Groups Active

escalatory·92% confidence

Summary

Cybercrime activity has surged 245% since the war began. Over 60 active threat groups are aligned with the conflict — 53 operating on the pro-Iranian side. Pro-Russian groups have also joined. Iran's own internet is at 1-4% capacity.

Risk Impacts (1)

Massive proliferation of threat actors — 60+ groups now active

Current probability:72%High