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de-escalatory·5d ago·Wednesday, March 18, 2026
Denmark Suggests Europe 'Keep Open Mind' on Hormuz Naval Support
de-escalatory·82% confidence
Summary
Danish FM Lars Rasmussen broke from European consensus, suggesting Europe should 'keep an open mind' on freedom-of-navigation operations even if opposing the war itself. 'We must face the world as it is, not as we want it to be.' A lone voice of moderation in an otherwise unified rejection.
Risk Impacts (2)
Small crack in European wall of rejection — shows not all allies are fully opposed
Current probability:85%Critical
Potential for limited allied naval cooperation on freedom of navigation
Current probability:85%Critical