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escalatory·5d ago·Wednesday, March 18, 2026
Israel Strikes South Pars Gas Field — World's Largest
escalatory·95% confidence
Summary
Israel struck Iran's South Pars gas field, the world's largest shared with Qatar's North Field. Gas and oil facilities at South Pars and Asaluyeh were hit, threatening both Iranian and Qatari production.
Risk Impacts (2)
Escalation reduces ceasefire prospects
Current probability:85%Critical
Major gas field struck, supply further constrained
Current probability:75%High