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neutral·3d ago·Friday, March 20, 2026
Pentagon Says Iranian Missile Capability Degraded 90% But Proxy Attacks Surging
neutral·88% confidence
Summary
Pentagon reports 90% degradation of Iranian missile/drone capability. However, proxy attacks across Iraq, Lebanon, and Syria have surged as the conflict decentralizes. Analysts warn degraded command creates autonomous actors that could outlast any ceasefire.
Risk Impacts (2)
Proxy autonomy increases as central command degrades — harder to stop
Current probability:80%Critical
90% capability degradation reduces Iran's ability to strike Gulf infrastructure
Current probability:60%High