DAY 24
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escalatory·3d ago·Friday, March 20, 2026

UN Warns 45M More People at Risk of Acute Hunger

escalatory·95% confidence

Summary

The UN warns that rising food, oil, and shipping costs could push an additional 45 million people into acute hunger, taking the global total above the record of 319 million. About one-third of all globally shipped fertilizer passes through the now-closed Strait of Hormuz.

Risk Impacts (2)

UN quantifies the crisis: 45M additional people at risk, breaking all records

Current probability:95%Critical

One-third of global shipped fertilizer now blocked at Hormuz

Current probability:90%Critical