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escalatory·4d ago·Thursday, March 19, 2026
Iran Missile Damages 17% of Qatar LNG Capacity for 3-5 Years
escalatory·92% confidence
Summary
Iranian strikes damaged 2 of 14 production trains at Ras Laffan, knocking out 17% of Qatar's LNG capacity. Repairs expected to take 3-5 years. All Qatari LNG production halted.
Risk Impacts (2)
QAFCO (14% of world urea) production halted with LNG shutdown
Current probability:90%Critical
Long-term fertilizer supply removal compounds food risk
Current probability:95%Critical