DAY 24
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neutral·2d ago·Saturday, March 21, 2026

Iranian Navy escorts Indian tanker through selective Hormuz corridor

neutral·87% confidence

Summary

Crew of the Indian LPG carrier Shivalik confirmed Iranian Navy escorted their vessel through the Larak Island corridor on a pre-approved route. GPS spoofing was reported during transit. The incident confirms Iran is operating a permission-based transit system — allowing friendly nations limited passage while blocking Western-allied shipping.

Risk Impacts (3)

Selective passage indicates some trade preserved, not complete closure

Current probability:85%Critical

Approved-nation corridor provides some relief to China's reserve depletion

Current probability:85%Critical

GPS spoofing during escort demonstrates Iranian navigation warfare capability

Current probability:65%High