agriculture·monthsescalating

Pakistan/India Diesel Irrigation Collapse

83% of Pakistan's irrigation runs on diesel. India has 32M diesel pumps. Oil hitting $126/bbl making pumping increasingly unaffordable. Goldman says triple-digit oil for years. Pakistan's 1M tubewells and India's irrigation infrastructure feed over 1.6 billion people.

78%

High

Base: 75%

Modifier: +3

Severity: ●●●●○

Key Indicators

Diesel price in Pakistan/India

Pump utilization reports

Wheat/rice planting area data

Government subsidy announcements

Cascade Chain

Triggered by

Fertilizer Crisis

90%

Higher fertilizer costs compound with diesel costs to make f...

Oil Recession

75%

Diesel powers 74% of global irrigation pumping; $150/bbl mak...

Irrigation Crisis

78%

Triggers

Food Crisis

95%

1.6B people depend on diesel-irrigated agriculture in Pakist...

Related Intelligence (2)

1d agoNPR+3%

Asia faces cascading economic crisis as Iran war disrupts supply chains across the region

India/Pakistan diesel costs actively impacting irrigation operations during planting season

NPR

3d agoFortune / CNN+5%

Oil Hits $126/barrel — Goldman Says Triple Digits 'For Years'

Diesel costs making irrigation pumping unaffordable across South Asia

Fortune CNN

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